Currently showing uncertain YES pricing with no significant changes. Fed Decision June and July: June market at 2.5% YES, ...

The “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?” market is currently priced at 5.8% YES. This reflects a slight decrease ...

AI's rise could redefine leadership roles, challenging traditional management and communication methods in organizations.

Iran missile strikes disrupt oil supply routes, raising WTI crude prices. Bitcoin above $66K on May 7 at 99.8% YES.

Trump considers military options after Strait of Hormuz attacks. US officially declares war on Iran by December 31, 2026 at 8 ...

Australia raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.35%. Bank of Brazil to increase Selic rate after April 2026 at 100% ...

Market shows a decrease to 60% YES from 72% within the last day. ## Key Takeaways – Recent attack appears to suggest ...

M.G. Siegler is the author of Spyglass, an independent technology newsletter and analysis platform. He is a regular monthly ...

Markets related to a potential US invasion of Iran show a decreased likelihood following the announcement of US troop ...

Thailand approves emergency borrowing to address economic fallout from US-Israel-Iran conflict. WTI Crude Oil at $150 in May 2026 priced at 32% YES.

Bitcoin ETFs see $532M inflows amid geopolitical tensions. Bitcoin below $68K on May 4 at 0.1% YES, Ethereum above $1,800 at ...

Iran reinforces its stance on the Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions. Blockade lift by May 31, 2026 at 25% YES.