The European Space Agency (ESA) has increased the estimated risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth on 22 December 2032, now at 2.2%. First detected on 27 December 2024, the asteroid is currently under observation,

The probability of a 2032 collision with the 50-meter asteroid has risen to 1.9%. However, ongoing calculations in the coming days and weeks may cause this estimate to fluctuate

Experts are tracking asteroid 2024 YR4, which has a 1.2% chance of impacting Earth in 2032. Observations continue to refine its path.

Last week, the European Space Agency (ESA) gave the asteroid a 1.3 per cent chance of hitting the Earth on Dec. 22, 2032. NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) said Thursday that the likelihood of impact has now reached 2.3 per cent.

Days after it was confirmed that asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 1-in-83 chance of colliding with Earth, American space agency, Nasa has charted the course of its orbit and the object's trajectory in space. Nasa's Center of Near Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) is tracking the asteroid and has already prepared its projected orbit that brings it in extreme proximity to Earth.